Will They Blame YouTube on the Sixth Version?

Lol: "Employers eye bare-bones health plans under new law." Well, duh: if the budget for health insurance is $x, and a good plan will cost $x + $y, the solution is to offer bare bones plans. This will further increase the costs of ObamaCare, making a bad system worse. [Note: Link likely won't work unless you subscribe to the WSJ] The National Review has some excerpts from the Journal story.

The Department of Justice not only spied on AP, but a FoxNews reporter, too. Possibly two other FoxNews reporters also had their emails read.

As Randy reported, the smear on the Fast & Furious whistleblower will only make things worse for the DOJ and the Obama Administration. Meanwhile, a State Department employee says he was the scapegoat for Benghazi. I expect he'll get to testify in Congress.

Richard Milhous Obama.

The White House is on its fifth version of the IRS scandal. Perhaps on the sixth version they'll blame a YouTube Video.




Blah: The Wings outplayed the Hawks...
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Please...

Some things are just beyond belief. We found out this weekend that the White House Chief Counsel found out about the scandal in April; President Obama insists he didn't find out until it was released in the press (May 10). Please: Either we have the most inept White House Chief Counsel in history or a lie.

The Washington Post has reported that there's surprise over the scandal amongst IRS employees in Cincinnati: “Everything comes from the top. We don’t have any authority to make those decisions without someone signing off on them. There has to be a directive.” And that matches how I've seen the IRS behave. There's no chance this scandal was caused by two or four low-level employees in Cincinnati; it was caused by either rogue middle managers (note the plural) or orders from others. I suspect the latter given my dealings with the IRS.

How to tell there's a cover-up.




How to shoot yourself in the foot: Maryland passes gun control law, alienating large manufacturer of guns (Beretta). Beretta will move production out of Maryland.

I hope you don't wonder why Tea Party groups campaign against tax increases. Your tax dollars at work: Prison Poetry.




Some music for a Monday morning:

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Classic Math Geek Sunday

...will not become a regular feature, unlike timprov's classic photos.

But I did get a question from a high school student about a calculation I'd done about the game Tonk, five years ago on 2+2: http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/21/draw-other-poker/profitably-dropping-tonk-315444/

I didn't mention the technique in the forum post, but I used a generating function to count the possibilities. If you multiply (1+yxk) together for each value of "k" in the deck (as a multiset, not a set), you get a polynomial whose coefficient on yixj is the number of ways to make a "j"-point hand with "i" cards.

Back in 2008 there wasn't a readily available symbolic manipulation tool available on the web, so I hacked some python together to do the math. Today there's Wolfram Alpha, whose limited-duration (free) computation is powerful enough to give:

simplify | Coefficient[(1+y x)^4 (1+y x^2)^4 (1+y x^3)^4 (1+y x^4)^4 (1+y x^5)^4 (1+y x^6)^4 (1+y x^7)^4 (1+y x^8)^4 (1+y x^9)^4 (1+y x^10)^16, y, 5] as

4368 x^50+7280 x^49+10640 x^48+16720 x^47+22496 x^46+31216 x^45+40436 x^44+52556 x^43+65532 x^42+82176 x^41+92548 x^40+105176 x^39+116832 x^38+127484 x^37+136344 x^36+143676 x^35+147784 x^34+149268 x^33+146936 x^32+140224 x^31+134052 x^30+125188 x^29+115520 x^28+103808 x^27+92416 x^26+79416 x^25+67600 x^24+55712 x^23+45584 x^22+36708 x^21+28948 x^20+22144 x^19+16520 x^18+11988 x^17+8344 x^16+5724 x^15+3784 x^14+2492 x^13+1552 x^12+920 x^11+484 x^10+240 x^9+92 x^8+28 x^7+4 x^6


which (fortunately) seem to be the numbers I came up with in October 2008.

I wonder how well Wolfram Alpha's freemium model is working for them. :)

IRS Scandal Gets Worse / Why 97% Is Wrong

Why the IRS scandal won't go away: Congressman Paul Ryan asked IRS Acting Commissioner Stephen Miller if the IRS targeted any groups that have "progressive" in their title. The answer was no.

Next, the Democrats' answer to the scandal is "Citizens United is bad, give the IRS more money." Hmmm, Citizens United might be bad (or it might not--that's not the issue here), but giving the IRS more money would not have impacted this at all. Indeed, if there were more bureaucrats they might have gone after more groups!

Peggy Noonan got it right. (See Randy's post.)

Lanny Davis: Did the White House General Counsel know about the IRS scandal?

IRS reportedly denied tax-exempt status to pro-life groups on behalf of Planned Parenthood.

IRS: Tax-exempt applications increased to 501(c)(4) organizations. Oops: IRS scrutiny of organizations began in 2010, and applications for 501(c)(4) organizations decreased in the year ending September 30, 2010.




Oh, this will make you want Obamacare: The IRS official in charge of tax exempt organizations when the IRS targeted Tea Party groups is now running the IRS office responsible for Obamacare. And she got over $100,000 in bonuses!

A small business owner explains the facts of Obamacare to employees.




Bob Woodward: Don't forget Benghazi. The emails the White House released don't cover September 12th or 13th, and even the ones on the 14th show ineptitude at best, and peshaps something worse.




Anthony Watts demolishes the 97% of scientists favor anthropogenic global warming. (Even if it were the case, it's irrelevant.)
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Scandalrama

Scandalrama: We have the IRS Scandal, Benghazi, and now in what must be a really, really dumb decision, the DOJ decided to grab two months' of phone records from the AP and their reporters. Now, I'm sure that will make a favorable impression on the reporters covering the IRS Scandal and Benghazi....

Nate Silver on the IRS scandal having legs. Well, when you've lost Massachusetts Democrats....

Obama gets four Pinocchios on saying that Benghazi was an act of terror.

While the IRS has relented on seizing emails without a warrant, the DOJ hasn't.




So will there be an independent counsel for the IRS scandal? I doubt it. The problem is that I don't think President Obama thinks anything was done that was fundamentally wrong...other than getting caught. That, I suspect, is the issue. I find it impossible to believe that this is the result of spontaneous actions of low-level IRS employees. There's no way that's the case when this is occurring in multiple offices.

That then IRS Chief Counsel and now Acting Commissioner Steven Miller was briefed on this in May 2012 and didn't tell Congress says volumes. There were orders to do this. How high those orders go will be the interesting thing to find out, but I have no doubt that low-level IRS employees were told to focus on these groups. It is theoretically possible that a manager in Washington is responsible...but it's far more likely to be someone in the White House.




Congratulations to the Toronto Maple Leafs at continuing their tradition of excellence...in choking. Yes, they're the Cubs of the NHL.




Michael Smith on Climate Change: Zealotry rather than science at work. Oh yes, carbon dioxide levels didn't reach 400ppm last week (not that that really matters).
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Late-night group theory

Nearly every undergrad who takes abstract algebra learns the proof that the 15-puzzle cannot be solved if two of the tiles are reversed. That's because the permutations generated by the sliding motions are a subset of the entire permutation group (Sn), called the alternating group (An). The alternating group contains permutations that can be expressed as an even number of transpositions (called, unsurprisingly, "even permutations"), and a single-tile swap is an odd permutation.

So what if the motions are instead wraparound "slides"? That is, take an entire row or column and move it as many squares as you want, with tiles wrapping around from left to right or top to bottom. Does that set of moves produce the entire permutation group? Or is it the alternating group, or some other subgroup?

For odd-sized grids, the slide moves produce just even permutations. For example, sliding the top row on a 3x3 puzzle like this:
 3  1  2
 4  5  6
 7  8  9

is the cycle (1 2 3) = (1 3)(1 2), which is even.

For even-sized grids it seems possible to generate a single-transposition--- say, (1 2)--- since the slides are odd permutations, but how to prove it?

Well, one way is brute force. For a 4x4 grid it might be just feasible to find the shortest "word" (combination of generating moves) which generates a particular transposition, although the search space is of size 16! =~ 2*10^13. I thought for a bit and bounded depth-first-search seemed better than BFS or heuristic search, because the queue size could become very large. But the size grows very quickly, even with two pruning heuristics at work.

The 8 basic moves on a 4x4 grid are H1, H2, H3, H4, V1, V2, V3, V4, where Hy slides the y'th row right by one, and Vx slides the x'th column down by one. The reverse moves can be generated by cycling around, i.e., H1^-1 = H1.H1.H1. So there are two easy ways to prune the DFS tree. The first is that we should never use the same move more than three times in a row. The second is that all the H's commute with each other (and so do all the V's), so we shouldn't explore both H3.H2.H1 and H1.H2.H3 since they are the same.

Depth   # of words    (w/o pruning commutative pairs)
4            2443          4673
6           95883        298057
8         3761907
10      147594811
12     5790738743


So much for brute force--- we didn't find (1 2) in this search, and going to 14 would take more than overnight.

But, that undergraduate algebra class probably talked about commutators as well, moves of the form y^-1.x^-1.y.x. In solving a Rubik's cube these moves tend to swap just a subset of the cubes, making it easier to find a move which fixes a portion of the cube while leaving the rest alone. The same is true here. (Note that composition of group operators is read from right to left.)

A useful commutator, X = V2^-1 . H1^-1 . V2 . H1 (first row right, second column down, first row left, second column up) introduces a 3-cycle among 1, 2, and 14:
*14 *1  3  4
  5  6  7  8
  9 10 11 12
 13 *2 15 16


So V2.X.X produces the desired swap of 1 and 2, but has messed up the column:
[2   1] 3  4
 5 *14  7  8
 9  *6 11 12
13 *10 15 16


But, another three-cycle can be used to correct this. Let Z = V2^-1 . H3^-1 . V2 . H3, which looks like this:
 1   2  3  4
 5 *10  7  8
*6  *9 11 12
13  14 15 16

We just need to move the '10' into position, perform the cycle, and then back out again. That means something of the form Y^-1.Z.Y, where Y = V1^-1 . H4^-1. Here's Y alone:
 5  2  3  4
 9  6  7  8
14 10 11 12
 1 15 16 13

which screws up a bunch of stuff, but here's Y^-1.Z.Y:
 1   2  3  4
 5 *10  7  8
 9 *14 11 12
13  *6 15 16

which is a nice well-behaved three-cycle, exactly the one we want to patch up V2.X.X. Putting it all together, Y^-1.Z.Y.V2.X.X =
 2  1  3  4
 5  6  7  8
 9 10 11 12
13 14 15 16

or in word form: H4.V1.V2.V2.V2.H3.H3.H3.V2.H3.V1.V1.V1.H4.H4.H4.V2.V2.V2.V2.H1.H1.H1.V2.H1.V2.V2.V2.H1.H1.H1.V2.H1. There might be a shorter word for the same permutation, but at 33 moves we were not likely to find this one by brute force any time soon.

But, this is sufficient to show that the slide moves generate the whole symmetric group S_16, since we can generate any other desired transposition in the same way, and the transpositions are generators for S_16.

How could we encode the directed search I performed by hand, into a computer algorithm for finding efficient (but not necessarily minimal) sets of moves for a given permutation?

Stupidity on a Breathtaking Scale (Or Worse)

There's always this feeling among skeptics and cynics that others are out to get us. Sometimes its true. In the cut below is my post from my tax blog on the IRS scandal regarding investigating only conservative groups.

IRS Targeting the RightCollapse )

FIRE: Government has mandated speech codes on all campuses. This won't end well (for the Department of Education).

Obama orders top aides to praise Obamacare during commencement speeches. The public still hates the law.




There's a lot that came out regarding the UB scandal this weekend. On one tape, Russ Hamilton states that Annie Duke had access to God-mode (being able to see the hole cards) on a "15-minute delay" on some occasions. Annie Duke stated on Twitter that she only used it while doing commentary. @Mitzula on Twitter has the great line, "I hear Annie Duke is pissed that Gus Hansen already wrote Every Hand Revealed she wanted it for her autobiography."

Why is 50% the limit?

In today's Star Tribune, an orchestra board member makes the case that musician salaries must be cut:
Deficits will continue to grow unless we are able to address cost savings in our musicians’ contract, since their direct compensation makes up nearly 50 percent of the orchestra’s total expenses.


Nearly 50 percent! Good heavens! I'll be generous and blame the Star Trib itself for the sub-head "The musicians are half the cost, and that can’t continue." But even so, why shouldn't musicians--- you know, the ones that actually form the orchestra--- be more than 50% of the budget?

This is an awful way to try to make your case. (The board's web site trying to compare orchestra salaries to PhD-holders is almost as bad.) It would be better to state--- as the web site does--- that 80% of the budget is "musicians and concert-related costs." Even so, it would be refreshing to see an honest breakdown of what it really costs to have an orchestra--- not why the current cost structure of the orchestra doesn't work.
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Links: The Cynics Are Right; BBC; ACLU & CEI Find a Database in Immigration; UB Rears Its Head in UP

The IRS scandal with tea party organizations gets worse.




When the BBC thinks that Benghazi is a problem....




If the immigration bill passes, a biometric database of all Americans will be created. This is something that is uniting the ACLU and the Competitive Enterprise Institute (a conservative think tank).




California: Schools may lose one of the best programs around, International Baccalaureate.




An interesting look at what Utah did to make its state capital building earthquake resistant. The Wasatch Fault runs extremely close to the building.




Uh oh: Travis Makar released tapes tonight that allegedly show that Russ Hamilton and the head of Iovation are talking about ways to get out of paying cheated players in the UB scandal. That's not particularly surprising. The problem is that the head of Iovation then is still the head of the company today, and Iovation is being used as a location/identity verification product for Ultimate Poker. Now, UP isn't contracting directly with Iovation (UP is contracting with another company that is using Iovation). Here, it's guilt by association.
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